Saturday, July 13, 2019

Manual transmission is terminal

The manual transmission is terminal and will be dead in a matter of a few short years. This is an easy argument to make. First, car companies and customers have always valued manuals in performance cars. Now Chevy and Ford are now abandoning the manual even on their fastest most powerful cars. The 8th generation mid engine Chevy Corvette will be 10 speed dual clutch automatic transmission. The Ford's GT500 power house Mustang will only come in a 10 speed dual clutch automatic transmission. Chevy and Ford claim that no human with a manual transmission can match a dual clutch automatic transmission, and they are correct. Secondly, high performance automatic 10 speed transmissions is not the only reason manuals are dying. The general population no longer wants them. In 1992, 25% of cars sold were manual. In 2012, 6.8% of cars sold were manuals. And in 2018, 3.5% of cars sold were manuals
[Source Donut Media]
Some sources say lower for 2018. Edmunds says manual transmissions accounted for just 2 percent of all vehicles sold in 2018.
[Source Edmunds.com]
In 2006, 47% of car models we offered in either manual or automatic In 2018, only 27% of car models are now offered in either manual or automatic transmissions.
[Source Chicago Tribune]
Compared to traditional automatic transmissions, manual transmissions were considered more fuel efficient. But now with CVT transmissions being used in many cars that are fuel conscious, manual transmissions can't compare here anymore either. So the only purpose manual transmissions appear to have, is that to a few car enthusiast, where manuals are thought of as more fun. But fun does not equal profits for car companies. In the end, money is what drives car companies. If there is no longer performance, preference, or efficiency advantages, people will not be driving with manuals in the near future.

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